Cohort Compare
Side-by-side comparison of two voter cohorts. Cohorts below 50 voters and any deltas that depend on them are suppressed for privacy.
Cohort comparison
Matched count and share of California's 23,430,876 active voters.
Cohort A
23,430,876
100.00% of CA
Cohort B
23,430,876
100.00% of CA
B − A
+0
+0.00pp share
Cohort A
Cohort A
0 of 6 filter groups active
Identity
Geography
Vote history
Coalitions
Modeled scores
Cohort B
Cohort B
0 of 6 filter groups active
Identity
Geography
Vote history
Coalitions
Modeled scores
Turnout by cycle
Share of each cohort that voted in each cycle. Δ is B − A in percentage-point units.
| Cycle | Cohort A | Cohort B | Δ (B − A) |
|---|---|---|---|
| VH22P | 27.3% | 27.3% | +0.0pp |
| VH22G | 42.3% | 42.3% | +0.0pp |
| VH24P | 30.7% | 30.7% | +0.0pp |
| VH24G | 65.7% | 65.7% | +0.0pp |
Coalition lift comparison
Each side's lift vs the statewide rate (1.0× = at parity). Δ is B − A in absolute lift units; positive means B is more concentrated in that coalition.
| Coalition | A lift | B lift | Δ (B − A) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Social Conservative | 1.00× | 1.00× | +0.00× |
| Veteran | 1.00× | 1.00× | +0.00× |
| Sportsmen | 1.00× | 1.00× | +0.00× |
| 2nd Amendment | 1.00× | 1.00× | +0.00× |
| Pro-Life | 1.00× | 1.00× | +0.00× |
| Pro-Choice | 1.00× | 1.00× | +0.00× |
| Fiscal Conservative | 1.00× | 1.00× | +0.00× |
Sex
Reported voter sex within each cohort.
| Category | A count | A % | B count | B % | Δ (B − A) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Female | 11,880,996 | 50.7% | 11,880,996 | 50.7% | +0.0pp |
| Male | 11,281,148 | 48.1% | 11,281,148 | 48.1% | +0.0pp |
| Unknown | 268,732 | 1.1% | 268,732 | 1.1% | +0.0pp |
Age range
Distribution across age bands.
| Category | A count | A % | B count | B % | Δ (B − A) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26-35 | 4,229,501 | 18.1% | 4,229,501 | 18.1% | +0.0pp |
| 36-45 | 3,967,061 | 16.9% | 3,967,061 | 16.9% | +0.0pp |
| 56-65 | 3,521,149 | 15.0% | 3,521,149 | 15.0% | +0.0pp |
| 46-55 | 3,369,446 | 14.4% | 3,369,446 | 14.4% | +0.0pp |
| 66-75 | 3,115,911 | 13.3% | 3,115,911 | 13.3% | +0.0pp |
| 17-25 | 2,806,945 | 12.0% | 2,806,945 | 12.0% | +0.0pp |
| 76-Over | 2,419,735 | 10.3% | 2,419,735 | 10.3% | +0.0pp |
| Unknown | 1,128 | 0.0% | 1,128 | 0.0% | +0.0pp |
Ethnicity (modeled)
RNC-modeled ethnic group estimates.
| Category | A count | A % | B count | B % | Δ (B − A) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| White | 10,269,941 | 43.8% | 10,269,941 | 43.8% | +0.0pp |
| Hispanic | 7,867,375 | 33.6% | 7,867,375 | 33.6% | +0.0pp |
| Asian | 3,368,957 | 14.4% | 3,368,957 | 14.4% | +0.0pp |
| Black | 1,070,272 | 4.6% | 1,070,272 | 4.6% | +0.0pp |
| Other | 854,331 | 3.6% | 854,331 | 3.6% | +0.0pp |